How the Machines Mauled MAGA in the Colorado Primaries
It turns out that CO Republicans keep forgetting to fill in their ballots all at once at different times in different counties ... while Democrats don't?
TLDR; In many counties in the 2022 CO primaries, the voting machines exhibited a new “variable ratio” vote deletion/allocation mode in addition to the 2:1 and even 3:1 framework I earlier discovered in the 2020 election. Whether this new mode was on top of or in place of a successfully covered up N:1 mode for the primaries, it certainly heavily pushed non-MAGA candidates over the finish line. In most races where this occurs, the MAGA candidate would have won if not for all the conveniently temporally grouped “MAGA forgetfulness to vote”.
First we look at exhibit A from Garfield County:
What is this? For the Garfield county primaries I have overlaid both the Republican (solid) and Democrat (dashed) voting percentage lines for comparable races for easy comparison. And the same races are in the same colors (e.g. the governor race is in red).
A lot of the differences in line levels1 are due to just displaying single MAGA candidates of multi-candidate races on the R side — there are very few contests in most of the D counties throughout the state. BUT: We luck into having one case in Garfield where I show both candidates in a multi-candidate race for the Dem state rep between Velasco and Buerger (dashed magenta and dashed light green). But there are lots of unopposed races which should be good inter-party comparisons/ calibrations — some key ones of which have been bolded with heavier lines.
A list of key initial observations in increasing importance:
Notice how the R primary is about twice the size (D lines are half the length) of the D primary in spite of Trump actually slightly losing here in 2020. That could be due to a 2022 MAGA surge, sneaky ex-Dem UAFs casting R ballots to vote against MAGA2, Garfield being more R than reflected in 2020 due to machine suppression back then also — or various combinations of these and other factors.
And notice how relatively flat and separated the down ballot Dem state rep race is between Velasco and Buerger. This looks like one would expect where you simply have a significantly more popular candidate. Even with such a small race we have evidence that the law of large numbers applies with no crazy gyrations. And when we look at the detailed chart of that Dem race in the footnotes, the “missing vote” orange line is flat and low down below 5% also as expected — outside of the Twilight Zone we sane people currently seem to inhabit at least3. (Not to say the machines couldn’t have reversed the Dem results in a successfully hidden pre-step N:1 framework like may have happened to Bernie but we’ll hold that aside.)
BUT CRAZILY: Notice the huge variation in Rs “forgetting” to mark their ballots both in headline races like governor and sec-of-state but in the same pattern in down ballot races! And not just forgetting, but all forgetting by the same varying amounts at different times! And notice especially that the unopposed R down ballot races start out in the upper left very similar to the unopposed D races in terms of a relatively low percentage level of “forgetting”! So let’s compare to another county like La Plata:
In this case, there is also a lot of forgetting to color ovals this time right from the start but notice the sequence and pattern of when it happens is completely different than in Garfield. But again, the general shape of “the forgetting” is the same in up through down ballot races! Even in races like coroner(!) where you would have to swallow a very psychedelic pill to believe that race was MAGA and the forgetting could be MAGA related! So La Plata county Rs were made forgetful by a completely different sequence of news about all their candidates nearly equally as well!
SPOILER: It turns out all the down ballot forgetting to vote has to be forced to happen or else these down ballot races would end up with more votes than the combined votes in the R up ballot races and that would be a bridge too far in giving the game away.
So let’s drill down and look hard at how this affected the MAGA candidates individually in Garfield starting with Ron Hanks for Senate:
Oh my. This really points out the direct relationship between “forgetting to vote” and “forgetting to vote for just Ron” but NOT for O’Dea! And my dashed and dotted red lines indicate that Ron would have won if it wasn’t for all the forgetfulness of the orange line. The dotted red is the addition of the orange with the Hanks red line — and even if you shave off the possibly legit 4-5% of forgetfulness that may be real (as indicated in the Dem Velasco vs Buerger race) it’s still very possible that Hanks would have won.
OK, so let’s next look at Greg Lopez for Governor:
Deja Vu all over again. Lopez did win by a tiny margin but he would have won by a much larger margin if it wasn’t for all the interestingly temporally patterned “forgetting” to vote for Lopez but strangely not for Ganahl!
Tina Peters for Secretary of State?
Did I forget to mention Deja Vu? Tina would have easily won as well. They really, really did not want Tina to win but she would have without all the lumpy pattern of forgetfulness!
Rinse, lather, wash, and repeat the pattern of fraud. Analysis of more counties to follow but as you can see these alone stand out enough to set off massive alarm klaxons…
Levels are actually votes per 100 and 8 point center moving averaged displayed in percentages to take the noise out of these mostly relatively small counties.
I am privately privy to some in progress research that is starting to suggest that ex-Dem UAFs voting to upset the R primaries is a significant influence in CO unfortunately. I hope to do future posts on this…
Here’s the chart of the Dem vs Dem Velasco vs Buerger state rep primary. Look carefully at how low and flat the orange “forgot to vote” line is! My magenta dots that appear occasionally at the 950 level indicate where the orange instantaneously bumps above 6% and that is rare here (these lines are 8 point averages so the dots may appear where you wouldn’t expect looking at the orange averaged line). When you see lots of magenta dots on a chart that is a warning sign of lots of “forgetfulness” and that is NOT the case in this race — in fact it’s pretty close to what I would expect to see everywhere!